Strategic Mischief in the Electoral College

Despite our familiarity with the Electoral College, it bears repeating that the citizens of the United States do not vote for the president but rather for Electors, chosen by the various political parties state-by-state, who promise, that is “pledge,” to vote for their candidate. “There are so many curving byways and nooks and crannies in the Electoral College that there are opportunities for a lot of strategic mischief,” Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-MD) noted in a 2022 interview.

If you follow this blog, you know that my first novel was a thriller called Faithless Elector, in which a shadowy group seeks to steal the presidency by manipulating the Electoral College. My novel is a work a fiction, and I didn’t get everything right. But it’s dismaying to watch so much of its plot play out in the real world.

Faithless Elector debuted in March of 2016, well before the party conventions had selected their respective candidates, so it’s not about Clinton and Trump, but is animated by the question, “What if?” What if a shadow group wanted to steal the presidency by manipulating the Electoral College? The book’s staying power lies in the fact that it’s about a real, latent weakness in the process, prone, as Rep. Raskin points out, to “a lot of strategic mischief.”

And it’s about writers’ questions: Who are the bad guys? What do they want? What are the stakes? How would they go about it? Because first and foremost, for a good story, the protagonist(s) need a strong antagonist. If your “bad guys” are dummies, or the stakes don’t seem compelling, it doesn’t make for much of a story. As a reader, you want to feel the importance of the stakes and the very real possibility that the protagonist might not succeed.

The story is driven by move and counter-move. Verisimilitude (“like truth”) has been my guide, and I had to construct a plausible, mischievous threat. So, to begin with, I looked at the story not as the hero’s journey, but as the conspirators’ plot. I looked at how they might plausibly pervert rules and institutions, what groundwork they would have to create. I zeroed in on the weakest link, the actual Electors, and I made the conspirators resilient, having built into their model an ability to take advantage of serendipitous (for them) unforeseen events.

In the novel, the assumed EC vote tally is separated by only four votes. If three Electors could be persuaded to switch their votes, then the presumed loser would win. When I wrote the book, only a few states had anti-Faithless Elector laws on the books, and no one knew whether those statutes would stand if brought before the Supreme Court (there is much scholarship suggesting that Electors were intended to be decision makers, and despite their pledge were free to vote as they saw fit; but of course, no switched vote had ever changed the assumed outcome). Since the ’16 election a number of states and the District of Columbia (38 in total now) have instituted some sort of anti-Faithless Elector law, leaving twelve states without any such laws, and of the 38, fully half have no enforcement mechanism for their laws.

In the novel, an idealistic young graduate student, Matthew Yamashita, happens to be polling Electors for his dissertation research when he finds a suspicious number of deaths among them–all of them occurring between the general election and the real presidential election, when the Electors meet in their respective state capitols. This year it will be December 17, 2024. Matthew must get the information out to someone who will believe him–and who can do something to stop it. Later, Matthew and his allies realize that though they’ve got most of the facts right, they’ve missed a key point, which has cost them time.

In the novel, the conspirators need to give the Faithless Electors cover for switching their pledged vote, so they set about creating what looks like voter fraud in Illinois. It is the key to their strategy because it sows doubt and causes confusion. Meanwhile, in the real world, the Trump campaign covers all bets–it sows doubt about the validity of voting, and their operatives work to disenfranchise as many voters as possible. We have even seen ballot collection boxes set on fire in and around the Portland, OR, area, putting hundreds of ballots in jeopardy.

Not only is the Electoral College an archaic remnant that has never operated as designed, but since the first fully contested election (after Washington declined to run a third term), the rise of political parties has caused it to grow worse and more convoluted. Worst, far from giving a voice to small state voters, it disenfranchises rural and city dwellers alike. Adding the malapportioned Senate numbers (two per state regardless of population), further distorts the will of the people. The candidates, as has been true for some time now, focus on “swing states,” like my home state of Pennsylvania.

Meanwhile, there have now been five (5) presidential elections where the loser of the popular vote nevertheless became president – 1824, 1876, 1888, 2000 and 2016. Will it happen again in ’24? Will it be worse?

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James McCrone is the author of the Imogen Trager political suspense-thrillers Faithless ElectorDark Network and Emergency Powers–noir tales about a stolen presidency, a conspiracy, and a nation on edge. Bastard Verdict, his fourth novel, is about a conspiracy surrounding a second Scottish Independence referendum. His novel-in-progress is called Witness Tree, a (pinot) noir tale of murder and corruption set in Oregon’s wine country.

All books are available on BookShop.org, IndyBound.org, Barnes & Noble, your local bookshop, and Amazon. eBooks are available in multiple formats including Apple, Kobo, Nook and Kindle.

James is a member of Mystery Writers of America, Int’l Assoc. of Crime Writers, and he’s the current president of the Delaware Valley chapter of Sisters in Crime. He lives in Philadelphia. James has an MFA from the University of Washington in Seattle.

For a full list of appearances and readings, make sure to check out his Events/About page. And follow this blog!

You can also keep up with James and his work on social media:
Mastodon: @JMcCrone
Bluesky: @jmccrone.bsky.social
Facebook: James McCrone author (@FaithlessElector)
and Instagram/Threads “@james.mccrone”

“Truth Value” and B.S.

I was delighted today when an account I follow, Jonny Thomson’s Mini Philosophy, discussed Harry Frankfurt’s “Reflections on B.S,” an essay I used to teach when I was a community college instructor in the 1990’s, and one that I wrote about back in February of 2018. That post (link below), along with Corinne Purtill’s “The difference between a snafu….etc” remain among the most popular posts on this blog. I’m pleased that Frankfurt is still read and discussed.

As we stare down the barrel of another potential Trump presidency, I thought it might be helpful to revisit the Orewellian blare of that time, and the weaponized obfuscation that lies at the heart of an inability to distinguish lying and bullshit.

Link to original post

That difference, as Frankfurt notes, concerns truth value: one must believe that one knows the truth, in order to conceal it, to lie; whereas, the bullshitter has no necessary relation to truth.

The title of my original piece comes from 1984, and the appendix, Principles of Newspeak. It’s an imagined article in some future Newspeak-only newspaper, designed to show how Newspeak is designed and used to limit thought and action – ‘Oldthinkers unbellyfeel Ingsoc,’ would replace something we might understand today, as, “Those whose ideas were formed before the revolution cannot have a full emotional understanding of the principles of English Socialism.” The Newspeak version is brief but freighted.

It calls to mind Trump’s rambling word salads–it’s a stretch to call them speeches–impossible to pin down, and they’re formulated (if we can call it that) in such a way as to drop heavily weighted nouns that have specific meanings for his supporters. He sometimes, as in the example I used in the original post, contradicts himself within the same rambling, but the key nouns continue to resonate because the audience is not really listening. They hear the sound-cues they need and move on.

In a second Trump presidency, Project 2025 will be the scaffold for an ugly revolution, and the authors, who consulted with Trump in its creation, have made the grave mistake of being quite clear about what they will do.

Which may be why Trump is so keen to soft-peddle the Project. We need to listen, and we need to vote before it’s too late.

Here’s the Facebook post (reel) from Jonny Thomsom – https://www.facebook.com/reel/343009432203796

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James McCrone is the author of the Imogen Trager political suspense-thrillers Faithless ElectorDark Network and Emergency Powers–noir tales about a stolen presidency, a conspiracy, and a nation on edge. Bastard Verdict, his fourth novel, is about a conspiracy surrounding a second Scottish Independence referendum. His novel-in-progress is called Witness Tree, a (pinot) noir tale of murder and corruption set in Oregon’s wine country.

All books are available on BookShop.org, IndyBound.org, Barnes & Noble, your local bookshop, and Amazon. eBooks are available in multiple formats including Apple, Kobo, Nook and Kindle.

James is a member of Mystery Writers of America, Int’l Assoc. of Crime Writers, and he’s the current president of the Delaware Valley chapter of Sisters in Crime. He lives in Philadelphia. James has an MFA from the University of Washington in Seattle.

For a full list of appearances and readings, make sure to check out his Events/About page. And follow this blog!

You can also keep up with James and his work on social media:
Mastodon: @JMcCrone
Bluesky: @jmccrone.bsky.social
Facebook: James McCrone author (@FaithlessElector)
and Instagram/Threads “@james.mccrone”

“Scotland is a country, not a county” – 10th Anniversary of IndyRef vote

“Plays criticising the government make the second most boring evenings ever invented,” says Sir Humphrey Appleby to his minister in the delicious (and still, all-too-relevant) Yes, Minister series – “The Patron of the Arts” – (sea.2/ep.6).

The minister pauses, then asks him: “What are the most boring?”
Sir Humphrey responds: “Those praising the government.”

To write political thrillers as I do is delicate. Readers seeking partisan, anger-porn that affirms their view one way or the other have ample fodder elsewhere, and I want my stories to be something else. As I’ve written before, stories are about questions, not answers.

In my work, I’m drawn to what lies behind the official explanations and stories we’re told. What is the flip side of the answer the powerful would like us to accept? What (if anything) is being concealed? Who would be involved? What is their story, what are the consequences of their choices?

I write stories because it’s how I understand the world and the questions I have about it. My work, as much as it’s about characters in action, is animated by politics, by threats to the sovereignty of people to determine their own future and, through the ballot, to hold those in power accountable. But it isn’t meant to be partisan. Unless you regard democracy itself as partisan.

Bastard Verdict.
September 18 marked the 10 year anniversary of the 2014 Referendum on Scottish Independence, in which voters were asked, “Should Scotland be an independent country?” It failed. 55% voted ‘No,’ to independence, while 45% voted ‘Yes.’ The dismay over this sad anniversary grew starker earlier this month, when, on October 12 we learned of the death of Alex Salmon, former First Minister of Scotland, and the most visible architect of that referendum. The quote that titles this post comes from him.

With Alex Salmond in Princeton, 2013

I got to meet Salmond when he gave a talk at Princeton in 2013. He was a fantastic speaker. The focus of his talk was Adam Smith’s Theory of Moral Sentiments, which forced me to reread Smith, and it gave me the epigram for my second novel, Dark Network – “Virtue is to be feared more than vice, because its excesses are not subject to the regulation of conscience.”

I lived in Scotland as a boy, but I had to watch the referendum from the sidelines here in the US. Nevertheless, I felt the failure of the vote keenly, and I wanted to understand it. My knowledge of the Scottish National Party (SNP)–and hopes for its success–began in 1974, when we lived in Edinburgh. My father, a US political scientist, had come to study the politics of independence during a sabbatical year at Strathclyde University.

As I began gathering notes for a new thriller about the referendum, the process led me to a different story and question: What if there had been irregularities in the referendum? What if, as a second (fictional) referendum was gathering strength, those who had interfered in 2014 felt that they needed to make sure their involvement stayed hidden? What would the conspirators do? Further, what if those who perpetrated the election interference weren’t in government at the time but had gained their places at the table through their plot?

I had not initially envisioned it as a story involving my character, the FBI Agent, Imogen Trager, but she insisted on being a part of it. (After all that has happened to her in the first books, she takes a year off to do some research at the University of Glasgow, to keep her head down and consider her next steps–only, like Michael Corleone, to get pulled back in!)

Ten years ago, hope for the future shined brightly amidst the fear-mongering and mendacity (and that hope endures, albeit somewhat dulled). At the time, retirees were told that their pensions would be at risk in a Scotland independent from the UK. The predictable media suspects treated the run-up to the referendum with derision and condescension. The queen weighed in four days before the vote, saying that Scotland should “think very carefully about the future,” an unsubtle hint. Pro-European Union voters were told that leaving the UK would mean Scotland couldn’t participate in the EU. Neither the pension scare nor the EU ouster was true of course (except later, in 2016, when the UK voted in favor of Brexit–even though voters in Scotland voted 62% in favor of remaining in the EU) It wasn’t enough of a counterweight, and England dragged its “partners” out of the EU).

Three of the four highest returns for Yes were in Strathclyde – Glasgow City, West Dunbartonshire and North Lanarkshire. The fourth was Dundee City Council. While the map looks very red, 20 per cent of the population lives within those four blue districts. Roughly 2 million voted No, and 1.6 million voted Yes.

As aghast as I am about the above political maneuvering, it’s of a type that’s depressingly common during an election cycle. But as I watched the ham-fisted way the Tory party managed Brexit (if managed is the word for it), I began to wonder how Westminster would have reacted to a successful referendum, and what kind of legal and extra-judicial mischief they might get up to. At stake are markets, airfields, a nuclear submarine base, and the energy wealth of the North Sea. And of course Britain’s standing in the world.

As I wrote the story, traveling back and forth to Scotland on two occasions and corresponding with academics about certain aspects of the book, I struggled with my partisan feelings over the referendum, and I think that tension helped the book. Two of the principle characters did not favor independence, but they are both aghast that there may have been irregularities. Oddly, a petty criminal character becomes something like the moral center of the story.

For the story, I focused on Glasgow and Dundee, and I brought back Imogen Trager (an FBI elections specialist) into service. I felt that a novel told from the perspective of an American in Scotland–my own point of view–would be more authentic. That novel became Bastard Verdict, named for the “not proven” verdict in Scottish Law. The tension I wrestled with, between telling a good story on the one hand and venting my anger and disappointment on the other, gave the novel an energy and clarity I doubt I would have managed if I given in to the disappointment.

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James McCrone is the author of the Imogen Trager political suspense-thrillers Faithless ElectorDark Network and Emergency Powers–noir tales about a stolen presidency, a conspiracy, and a nation on edge. Bastard Verdict, his fourth novel, is about a conspiracy surrounding a second Scottish Independence referendum. His novel-in-progress is called Witness Tree, about a conspiracy set in Oregon’s wine coutry, a (pinot) noir tale of murder and corruption.

All books are available on BookShop.org, IndyBound.org, Barnes & Noble, your local bookshop, and Amazon. eBooks are available in multiple formats including Apple, Kobo, Nook and Kindle.

He’s a member of Mystery Writers of America, Int’l Assoc. of Crime Writers, and he’s the current president of the Delaware Valley chapter of Sisters in Crime. He lives in Philadelphia. James has an MFA from the University of Washington in Seattle.

For a full list of appearances and readings, make sure to check out his Events/About page. And follow this blog!

Democracy on Trial – 2024 Election edition

Making sure–NOW–that you’re registered to vote, and voting in November has never been more crucial. Donald Trump has even gone so far as to claim that we “won’t have to vote anymore…” if he’s put into power.

So, it’s not hyperbole to say that democracy is under threat. There are 84 days left until November 5th, 2024.

It’s important to remember that if voting didn’t matter, Trump’s party wouldn’t be working so hard to make sure you can’t. The litigious radical right means to gerrymander, purge/disenfranchise and litigate itself into power. They have been at it for years.

The Shelby County v. Holder decision saw the Supreme Court erode years of settled Voting Rights Act’s settled law. The overturning of key Voting Rights Act areas like Section 5 resulted in quick, anti-democratic laws. Within 24 hours of the ruling, Texas announced that it would implement a strict voter-ID law. Georgia and other states began closing polling places, resulting in . The list goes on. And on.

Democracy Docket does a nice job of keeping track of this misfeasance. The foes of democracy have deep pockets, (some) pliant judges, and a blistering sense of grievance and entitlement. They are laying the foundation–now–to overturn the upcoming election if it doesn’t go their way. Democracy Docket keeps a running scorecard of the lawsuits, judgements and official actions related to voting across the U.S.:

The “scorecard” from the most recent newsletter

Below, is a sample. The states of Georgia and Mississippi remain embattled, but the forces of disenfranchisement are at work in every state. The bullet point topics listed below, copied from the DemDocket newsletter, are the most recent developments.

Deep dive into threats to democracy in Georgia

  • Since 2020, we’ve seen an uptick in election denialism. And at a Georgia rally last Saturday, Trump and his allies started their plan to subvert the 2024 election by targeting the people responsible for overseeing election rules, Marc wrote in a new piece.
  • The state of Georgia has created a new online portal that makes it easier to cancel people’s voter registrations. In a new YouTube video, Marc shares his concerns about how the website will likely fuel election vigilantism in the state.
  • Struggles for voting rights continue in Mississippi
  • The RNC appealed the dismissal of its lawsuit seeking to reject mail-in ballots in Mississippi that are cast by Election Day and received shortly after. The case is now before the 5th Circuit — the most conservative federal appeals court.
  • Recently, the 5th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that the Mississippi Constitution’s felony disenfranchisement provision will remain in effect, reversing its previous opinion from August 2023. Democracy Docket talked to individuals working to get their voting rights restored about this ruling’s impact.

Ohio removes hundreds of alleged noncitizens from voter rolls

  • Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose (R) announced that the state’s county boards of election are removing 499 alleged noncitizens from the state’s voter rolls after purging nearly 155,000 inactive voters last week.

I do not work for Democracy Docket, nor do I have any financial interest in it, but they do important work that shines light on the kinds of things the Party of Trump does in the dark and away from the headlines.

I would urge anyone who wants to keep abreast of what anti-democracy forces are doing across the nation to read and subscribe to Democracy Docket. For those living in Pennsylvania/Philadelphia, The Committee of Seventy is also a wonderful source. While I’m at it, Brookings has its “Issues at Stake 2024” newsletter

But above all, make sure your voter registration is current and active. And make a plan to vote on November 5th!

Anyone who reads this blog must know where my sympathies lie. But first and foremost I care about our democracy. Yes, I’m a life-long Democrat, but I welcome the national argument that is voting–the chance for a free people to decide for itself as an electorate what they want their future to look like. I deplore and will resist any action to rig the game. By any side. And right now, it’s happening all on one side.

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James McCrone is the author of the Imogen Trager political suspense-thrillers Faithless ElectorDark Network and Emergency Powers–noir tales about a stolen presidency, a conspiracy, and a nation on edge. Bastard Verdict, his fourth novel, is about a conspiracy surrounding a second Scottish Independence referendum. His novel-in-progress is called Witness Tree, about a conspiracy set in Oregon’s wine coutry, a (pinot) noir tale of murder and corruption.

All books are available on BookShop.org, IndyBound.org, Barnes & Noble, your local bookshop, and Amazon. eBooks are available in multiple formats including Apple, Kobo, Nook and Kindle.

He’s a member of Mystery Writers of America, Int’l Assoc. of Crime Writers, and he’s the current president of the Delaware Valley chapter of Sisters in Crime. He lives in Philadelphia. James has an MFA from the University of Washington in Seattle.

For a full list of appearances and readings, make sure to check out his Events/About page. And follow this blog!

You can also keep up with James and his work on social media:
Mastodon: @JMcCrone
Bluesky: @jmccrone.bsky.social
Facebook: James McCrone author (@FaithlessElector)
and Instagram/Threads “@james.mccrone”